Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.745628 4.473831 5.285971 6.255955 7.379869 8.637994 10.149685
2025-08-10 2.540448 3.423935 4.514402 5.947659 7.768749 9.991134 12.892390
2025-08-17 1.842085 2.752234 3.975591 5.715144 8.095319 11.204021 15.530520
2025-08-24 1.448387 2.365638 3.691588 5.705409 8.633736 12.673920 18.590466
2025-08-31 1.174919 2.079579 3.475002 5.720431 9.161703 14.136433 21.740159
2025-09-07 0.954043 1.821428 3.242746 5.654476 9.530683 15.372904 24.647126
2025-09-14 0.748535 1.541178 2.919900 5.383339 9.527758 16.026651 26.717185
2025-09-21 0.626603 1.381484 2.766709 5.357517 9.893875 17.255409 29.740370
2025-09-28 0.528184 1.244116 2.626932 5.327501 10.236116 18.458817 32.801317
2025-10-05 0.490727 1.221312 2.693362 5.671484 11.250665 20.837792 37.938339
2025-10-12 0.439752 1.158555 2.671036 5.842634 11.967833 22.764633 42.455508
2025-10-19 0.403513 1.120956 2.692247 6.097040 12.856684 25.048328 47.730132
2025-10-26 0.347388 1.026127 2.582576 6.083371 13.253372 26.521590 51.759449
2025-11-02 0.284369 0.898904 2.380794 5.851204 13.200247 27.176636 54.392009
2025-11-09 0.233834 0.790932 2.202757 5.642161 13.164802 27.852007 57.098782
2025-11-16 0.202953 0.729320 2.123263 5.638618 13.546370 29.339242 61.397386
2025-11-23 0.177532 0.676922 2.057085 5.655328 13.969175 30.933265 65.997697
2025-11-30 0.152264 0.617778 1.962587 5.590587 14.205360 32.170193 69.987383
2025-12-07 0.123352 0.537451 1.795464 5.322325 13.956007 32.399550 72.013572
2025-12-14 0.107088 0.495894 1.728402 5.296809 14.256070 33.779693 76.412212
2025-12-21 0.092965 0.457618 1.663461 5.267108 14.541435 35.146198 80.864677
2025-12-28 0.090268 0.463281 1.732595 5.607662 15.746798 38.564572 89.732850
2026-01-04 0.083366 0.449730 1.739479 5.777115 16.548394 41.155617 97.021645